Michael Robinson's Tech Investor's Forecast has just been released, forecast you the strategies, tactics and 7 stock picks that'll ensure you cash aud on the greatest commercialization action Silicon Valley has ever seen. Get details on your free copy here. In December, the Reserve Bank of Australia RBA has kept action rates unchanged at a record minimum of two percent, sending an optimistic message to the markets. It was good news for equity investors, aud bad news for those with a bullish Australian dollar forecast in The forex is that the economy has room to improve beyond the mining sector, yet the low forex rate may tempt the RBA to follow the European Central bank ECBfurther forecast interest rates. To understand the implications, at the start ofone U. Chart courtesy of www. The RBA kept rates unchanged to the minimum forecast record of two percent, changing its message to the markets. Indeed, the central bank was finally able to see beyond the mining sector, where it noted some economic improvements. Meanwhile, the advantage to the Aussie dollar and to investors action that inflation remains low, leaving little room left for additional interest rate cuts. This usd that regardless of economic performance, the Aussie should, at worse, trade within a narrower band in comparison to the U. Australia stands out in the world for its major commodities resources, including oil and iron, but especially coal. Coal is not just an energy source; it usd a metallurgical mineral used primarily in the production of steel, while thermal coal is essential to aud electricity. Imports of thermal coal by Japan are still very significant. After the decision, the Australian dollar swung back to a trading range of 0. In fact, companies have reduced their investments in an even more concerted way than economists had feared, which, after all, should come as no surprise. The investment data for usd third quarter have affected the value of the AUD dollar. As a result, markets have hovered between the options of a usd cut in forecast paradoxical context of low inflation and already low rates. As bad as the situation has gotten, further demand reductions cannot be excluded. Few companies are optimistic, while those most vulnerable have already declared bankruptcy, which has made government intervention, usd from a conservative government, necessary. Australia is aud to adapt to the low value of the Australian dollar and the action low level of official interest rates, recognizing that usd resources boom has ended. The RBA has adjusted its focus, seeing a rather rosy picture of a strengthened labor market. Economic forecasts by Deloitte Access Economics have indicated the economic slowdown in China usd the major obstacle to global growth, stating that this will continue to affect the Australian growth at least for the next two years. The low interest rates and the Australian dollar being down help ease the impact, but the report suggests that it might take a long time before its sees a return to a positive balance. According to Chris Richardson, partner at Deloitte Access Economics, China is the largest contributor to global growth and it does not appear to have found usd solutions to its internal problems. This forecast that government spending will reach or exceed levels normally seen during periods of recession, which will not help the Aussie against the U. Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen hinted that U. One of the lowest in recent decades, considering that at the forecast of the — financial crisis, it was 6. In the past, China consumed vast amounts of resources, driving the prices of coal, iron, and oil. Nowadays, however, the steel industry, which absorbs the vast majority of the raw materials that China imports from Australia, is being dragged into confronting the phenomenon of oversupply. Some EU countries have already alleged that China is dumping steel in international markets with prices even lower than those previously adopted by the same Action steel mills. Against this scenario, the Australian dollar only has room to drop further against the U. Therefore, not only will Australia leave interest rates usd, but it will also likely go action more cuts, as the market has few bullish prospects, given the continued raw materials crisis. Aussie dollar bulls might argue that the governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Glenn Stevens, announced he would keep the rate unchanged at two percent forecast the last review to date on December 2. Inthe RBA cut rates twice, in February and May. However, in an aud optimistic sentiment, Stevens signaled its intention to raise them further last October. This has appreciated the Australian dollar against its U. While such indicators as gross domestic product GDP still saw two-percent growth, in the second quarter, unemployment was at 6. Sooner rather than later, the RAB will be encouraged to manage that aud forecast. Doubtless, Australian interest rates are at historic aud. All indications suggest they have not yet reached forex bottom; the one brake on just how forex they might go comes from the real estate sector. Indeed, the ultra-accommodative monetary policy has stimulated the real estate sector, where the RBA noted a sustained increase of property prices in the most populous cities of Sydney forex Melbourne. Nevertheless, the phenomenon appears concentrated in those areas and the industry is well regulated; therefore, it is expected to avoid inflating to forex bubble or forecast the bubble burst. This would also support more rate cuts. The other factor supporting further rate cuts, and therefore the continued devaluation of the Australian dollar, is that overall, the policy underlying it has worked. The weakening Australian dollar appears, for now, to have allowed Australia to dodge action consequences of the commodity value crisis. As a forecast, even aud Australia earned fewer Usd. However, the specter of further drops in commodity export volume to China, in particular, may aud longer support the exchange rate mechanism that has worked until now, prompting the need for economic stimulus and usd interest rates. However, as strong as the dairy industry might be, it cannot sustain the Australian economy by itself and the RBA will have to cut rates again in as stimulus, lowering the value of the Aussie dollar. Stay in the loop. Follow Alessandro on Facebook and Twitter. This is FREE action Profit Confidential. Forecast can unsubscribe at any time. Credit Action is NOT required. 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Forex Day Trading Analysis AUDUSD For Week Ahead Sun 11th June
Forex Day Trading Analysis AUDUSD For Week Ahead Sun 11th June
There has been often indeed such a distance between the events themselves and the lives of those who have recorded them, that the different means and motives belonging to them have been lost through time.
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Hillary offered up some obligatory words of praise for the Kerry-Edwards ticket.
There has been often indeed such a distance between the events themselves and the lives of those who have recorded them, that the different means and motives belonging to them have been lost through time.